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Betting Strategies and Statistics

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***SAMPLE PAGE***

This is Inside the Numbers' sample Betting Strategies and Statistics Page for NFL week 11. This information comes with our Works Membership, which can be purchased on our Subscriptions page.

NFL Picks for Week 12 - Buy Now ($9.99)

Lines and Odds updated at 10am (PDT) on 11/13/2008

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Pick Six: These six predictions consist of our four most likely to occur straight up picks, our most likely to occur against the spread pick, and our most likely to occur over/under pick. Pick Six

Best of the Rest: Our next most confident predictions we recommend after the Pick Six. The number of predictions we add to the BOTR will vary from week to week, but usually it will have at least 2 predictions in it. Most likely they will be against the spread picks, and rarely will they be over/under picks. Best of the Rest

Parlay Trio: We create three different parlays based on our unique statistics. Each is designed for a certain style or mentality of betting. We try not to include picks that have a likely chance of being OFF by our preferred sportsbooks. Parlay Trio

Complete betting table: This is a table of every prediction we make in a week. Every game has three different predictions, and most weeks consist of about 13-16 games, so usually there will be 39-48 picks in the table. This is a good place to look if you think our parlays are crazy and feel like creating one of your own.
Complete Table | Money Line Table | Against the Spread Table | Over/Under Table

Pick Six - Week 11, 2008

(One straight up pick, five spread picks)
Bet to make Bet Type Margin On odds of Probability of being correct Expected Value (on a $100 bet)
St. Louis to cover spread RT by 19+ 20.6 -110 84.2% $160.77
Washington to win HT by 6 6.3 100 71.8% $143.53
Cincinnati to cover spread RT by 3 3.2 -110 75.0% $143.18
Oakland to cover spread HT by 3 3.5 -110 69.8% $133.28
Tennessee to cover spread RT by 3 28.2 -110 67.3% $128.57
Houston to cover spread HT by 10 9.8 -110 64.1% $122.30

Orange highlight = Pick of the week (POTW)

Best of the Rest - Week 11, 2008

(Our next most confident picks we recommend)
Bet to make Bet Type Margin On odds of Probability of being correct Expected Value (on a $100 bet)
Tampa Bay to win HT by 16 16.2 -190 76.6% $116.86
Kansas City to cover spread HT by 4 4.0 -110 59.5% $113.64
NY Giants to cover spread HT by 9 9.4 -110 59.4% $113.35
Buffalo to cover spread HT by 1 0.8 -110 55.9% $106.74
Arizona to cover spread RT by 9 8.7 -110 55.0% $105.00
Pittsburgh to win HT by 17 16.6 -230 72.9% $104.57

Inside the Numbers Parlay Trio - Week 11, 2008

(Three different parlay bets, one low risk, medium risk, and high risk)
Parlay/Teaser Bets On Odds of Probability Expected Value (on a $100 bet)
Looking to retire by the time we colonize Mars AS - STL to cover
AS - CIN to cover
264 63% $230.05
Looking to retire by the next Summer Olympics 7 Point Teaser (Bodog)
TEN +4
STL +13.5
CIN +16
140 64% $153.60
Looking to retire by the end of this season AS - STL to Cover
ML - WAS to win
AS - CIN to cover
627 45 $329.33

ML - Money Line | AS - Against Spread | Home Team - HT | Road Team - RT

Complete Betting Table - Week 11, 2008

Back to top | Complete Table | Money Line Table | Against the Spread Table | Over/Under Table

Bet to make Bet Type Margin On odds of Probability of being correct Expected Value (on a $100 bet)
ML - St. Louis to win RT by 15 14.6 245 57.9% $199.74
AS - St. Louis to cover spread RT by 19+ 20.6 -110 84.2% $160.77
ML - Washington to win HT by 6 6.3 105 69.9% $143.28
AS - Cincinnati to cover spread RT by 3 3.2 -110 75.0% $143.18
AS - Washington to cover spread HT by 8 7.8 -110 72.0% $137.54
AS - Oakland to cover spread HT by 3 3.5 -110 69.8% $133.28
AS - Tennessee to cover spread RT by 0 28.2 -110 67.3% $128.57
AS - Houston to cover spread HT by 10 9.8 -110 64.1% $122.30
AS - Tampa Bay to cover spread RT by 0 12.7 -110 64.1% $122.30
ML - Tennessee to win RT by 3 31.2 -150 71.4% $119.05
ML - Tampa Bay to win HT by 16 16.2 -190 76.6% $116.86
AS - Kansas City to cover spread HT by 4 4.0 -110 59.5% $113.64
AS - NY Giants to cover spread HT by 9 9.4 -110 59.4% $113.35
Over - BAL @ NYG Over 23.5 -110 59.0% $112.64
Over - CLE @ BUF Over 3.5 -110 59.0% $112.64
Over - DAL @ WAS Over 9.0 -110 59.0% $112.64
Over - DEN @ ATL Over 2.0 -110 59.0% $112.64
Over - DET @ CAR Over 4.0 -110 59.0% $112.64
Over - MIN @ TB Over 16.5 -110 59.0% $112.64
Over - NYJ @ NE Over 11.5 -110 59.0% $112.64
Over - OAK @ MIA Over 1.5 -110 59.0% $112.64
Over - SD @ PIT Over 8.0 -110 59.0% $112.64
Over - TEN @ JAC Over 15.5 -110 59.0% $112.64
AS - Buffalo to cover spread HT by 1 0.8 -110 55.9% $106.74
AS - Arizona to cover spread RT by 9 8.7 -110 55.0% $105.00
ML - Pittsburgh to win HT by 17 16.6 -230 72.9% $104.57
Under - ARI @ SEA Under 16.5 -110 54.0% $103.09
Under - CHI @ GB Under 5.0 -110 54.0% $103.09
Under - HOU @ IND Under 9.5 -110 54.0% $103.09
Under - NO @ KC Under 26.0 -110 54.0% $103.09
Under - PHI @ CIN Under 10.0 -110 54.0% $103.09
Under - STL @ SF Under 14.0 -110 54.0% $103.09
ML - NY Giants to win HT by 16 15.9 -300 76.6% $102.08
AS - New England to cover spread HT by 2 2.2 -110 52.6% $100.37
ML - Buffalo to win HT by 6 5.8 -230 69.9% $100.28
AS - Detroit to cover spread HT by 12 12.2 -110 51.7% $98.64
ML - New England to win HT by 5 5.2 -170 61.9% $98.24
AS - Pittsburgh to cover spread HT by 12 11.6 -110 50.8% $97.07
AS - Atlanta to cover spread HT by 4 4.0 -110 50.7% $96.88
ML - Green Bay to win HT by 1 0.7 -210 65.6% $96.84
AS - Green Bay to cover spread RT by 3 3.3 -110 50.4% $96.22
ML - Arizona to win RT by 12 11.7 -150 57.5% $95.83
ML - Carolina to win HT by 18 18.2 -1000 83.3% $91.67
ML - Atlanta to win HT by 10 10.0 -275 67.2% $91.59
ML - Indianapolis to win HT by 18 18.3 -350 69.6% $89.44
ML - Miami to win HT by 14 14.0 -550 73.6% $86.96
ML - New Orleans to win RT by 1 1.5 -240 57.1% $80.95
ML - Philadelphia to win RT by 12 12.2 -425 57.5% $71.03

ML - Money Line | AS - Against Spread | Home Team - HT | Road Team - RT

Back to top | Complete Table | Money Line Table | Against the Spread Table | Over/Under Table

Money Line Table - Week 11, 2008

Bet to make Bet Type Margin On odds of Probability of being correct Expected Value (on a $100 bet)
ML - St. Louis to win RT by 15 14.6 245 57.9% $199.74
ML - Washington to win HT by 6 6.3 105 69.9% $143.28
ML - Tennessee to win RT by 7 31.2 -150 71.4% $119.05
ML - Tampa Bay to win HT by 16 16.2 -190 76.6% $116.86
ML - Pittsburgh to win HT by 17 16.6 -230 72.9% $104.57
ML - NY Giants to win HT by 16 15.9 -300 76.6% $102.08
ML - Buffalo to win HT by 6 5.8 -230 69.9% $100.28
ML - New England to win HT by 5 5.2 -170 61.9% $98.24
ML - Green Bay to win HT by 1 0.7 -210 65.6% $96.84
ML - Arizona to win RT by 12 11.7 -150 57.5% $95.83
ML - Carolina to win HT by 18 18.2 -1000 83.3% $91.67
ML - Atlanta to win HT by 10 10.0 -275 67.2% $91.59
ML - Indianapolis to win HT by 18 18.3 -350 69.6% $89.44
ML - Miami to win HT by 14 14.0 -550 73.6% $86.96
ML - New Orleans to win RT by 1 1.5 -240 57.1% $80.95
ML - Philadelphia to win RT by 12 12.2 -425 57.5% $71.03

ML - Money Line | AS - Against Spread | Home Team - HT | Road Team - RT

Back to top | Complete Table | Money Line Table | Against the Spread Table | Over/Under Table

Against the Spread Table - Week 11, 2008

Bet to make Bet Type Margin On odds of Probability of being correct Expected Value (on a $100 bet)
AS - St. Louis to cover spread RT by 19+ 20.6 -110 84.2% $160.77
AS - Cincinnati to cover spread RT by 3 3.2 -110 75.0% $143.18
AS - Washington to cover spread HT by 8 7.8 -110 72.0% $137.54
AS - Oakland to cover spread HT by 3 3.5 -110 69.8% $133.28
AS - Tennessee to cover spread RT by 0 28.2 -110 67.3% $128.57
AS - Tampa Bay to cover spread RT by 0 12.7 -110 64.1% $122.30
AS - Houston to cover spread HT by 10 9.8 -110 64.1% $122.30
AS - Kansas City to cover spread HT by 4 4.0 -110 59.5% $113.64
AS - NY Giants to cover spread HT by 9 9.4 -110 59.4% $113.35
AS - Buffalo to cover spread HT by 1 0.8 -110 55.9% $106.74
AS - Arizona to cover spread RT by 9 8.7 -110 55.0% $105.00
AS - New England to cover spread HT by 2 2.2 -110 52.6% $100.37
AS - Detroit to cover spread HT by 12 12.2 -110 51.7% $98.64
AS - Pittsburgh to cover spread HT by 12 11.6 -110 50.8% $97.07
AS - Atlanta to cover spread HT by 4 4.0 -110 50.7% $96.88
AS - Green Bay to cover spread RT by 3 3.3 -110 50.4% $96.22

ML - Money Line | AS - Against Spread | Home Team - HT | Road Team - RT

Back to top | Complete Table | Money Line Table | Against the Spread Table | Over/Under Table

Over/Under Table - Week 11, 2008

Bet to make Bet Type Margin On odds of Probability of being correct Expected Value (on a $100 bet)
Over - BAL @ NYG Over 23.5 -110 59.0% $112.64
Over - MIN @ TB Over 16.5 -110 59.0% $112.64
Over - TEN @ JAC Over 15.5 -110 59.0% $112.64
Over - NYJ @ NE Over 11.5 -110 59.0% $112.64
Over - DAL @ WAS Over 9.0 -110 59.0% $112.64
Over - SD @ PIT Over 8.0 -110 59.0% $112.64
Over - DET @ CAR Over 4.0 -110 59.0% $112.64
Over - CLE @ BUF Over 3.5 -110 59.0% $112.64
Over - DEN @ ATL Over 2.0 -110 59.0% $112.64
Over - OAK @ MIA Over 1.5 -110 59.0% $112.64
Under - CHI @ GB Under 5.0 -110 54.0% $103.09
Under - HOU @ IND Under 9.5 -110 54.0% $103.09
Under - PHI @ CIN Under 10.0 -110 54.0% $103.09
Under - STL @ SF Under 14.0 -110 54.0% $103.09
Under - ARI @ SEA Under 16.5 -110 54.0% $103.09
Under - NO @ KC Under 26.0 -110 54.0% $103.09

ML - Money Line | AS - Against Spread | Home Team - HT | Road Team - RT

Back to top | Complete Table | Money Line Table | Against the Spread Table | Over/Under Table

Simplified view of all Week 11 predictions

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